http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=aO.4vvigTEHg
Automotive News: The Cost of GM's Death
PR Newswire
DETROIT, Nov. 14
DETROIT, Nov. 14 /PRNewswire/ -- The following is being issued by
Automotive News:
If Congress thinks a bailout of General Motors is expensive, it
should
consider the cost of a GM failure.
Let's be clear. The alternative to government cash for GM is not a
dreamy
Chapter 11 filing, a reorganization that puts dealers and the UAW
in their
place, ensuring future success.
No, even if GM could get debtor-in-possession financing to keep the
lights
on (which it can't), Chapter 11 means a collapse of sales and a
spiral
into a Chapter 7 liquidation.
GM's 100,000 American jobs will die. Health care for a million
Americans
will be lost or at risk. Hundreds of GM's 1,300 suppliers will die.
Their
collapse could take down Ford Motor Co. and Chrysler LLC, perhaps
even
North American transplants. Dealers in every county of America will
close.
The government will face greater unemployment, more Americans
without
health insurance and greater pension liabilities.
Criticize Detroit 3 executives all you want. But the issue today is
not
whether GM should have closed Buick years ago, been tougher with
the UAW
or supported higher fuel economy standards.
In the next two to four months, GM will run out of cash and turn
out the
lights. Only government money can prevent that. Every other
alternative is
fantasy.
The $25 billion in loans that Congress approved to partially fund
improvements in fuel economy? Irrelevant. Dead automakers do not
invest in
technology.
The collapse of the global financial system has crushed the
American car
market, dried up revenues for the Detroit 3 and highlighted their
weaknesses.
Each of the Detroit 3 is in crisis. But Ford, which borrowed big
two years
ago and thus has more cash today, may skip a bailout and the
strings
attached. Cerberus, which bought Chrysler last year, doesn't
deserve
money. Government cash might help sell Chrysler to a strategic
owner.
Some Detroit critics want their pound of flesh: Throw the bums out
and
install a government czar. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson won't
use any
of his $700 billion bank bailout money to help manufacturers. In
any case,
he'd need a guarantee that a bailout would make Detroit "viable."
Well, nobody -- not even AIG -- is insuring guarantees for
viability.
The taxpayer needs protection and an upside. GM's top management
may need
to go. Government-as-shareholder deserves a big voice. Those
details can
be worked out.
The Detroit 3 CEOs and UAW President Ron Gettelfinger had better
tell two
critical congressional hearings next week what sacrifices they are
prepared to make.
But the stark fact remains: Absent a bailout, GM dies, and with it
much of
manufacturing in America. Congress needs to do the right thing --
now.
Founded in 1925, Automotive News is the newspaper of the automotive
industry. The tabloid newsweekly and its web site, autonews.com, is
read
by North American car and truck manufacturers, their franchised
dealers,
and original-equipment suppliers. It is published by Crain
Communications
Inc.
AUTOMOTIVE NEWS
Keith Crain -- publisher
Peter Brown -- associate publisher and editorial director